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ACBUY Spreadsheet: How to Forecast Next Month's Logistics Budget

2026-01-29

In today's dynamic supply chain environment, accurate budget forecasting is not just an advantage—it's a necessity. The ACBUY Spreadsheet

The Power of Historical Data in Logistics

Historical data is the cornerstone of intelligent forecasting. By analyzing past performance, the ACBUY Spreadsheet identifies patterns, seasonal fluctuations, and cost drivers that are invisible to the naked eye. This analysis covers the three major pillars of logistics expenditure:

  • Freight Costs:
  • Customs & Duties:
  • Storage Costs:

A Step-by-Step Forecasting Methodology with ACBUY

The ACBUY Spreadsheet transforms raw data into an actionable forecast through a structured process.

1. Data Consolidation & Cleansing

Import and consolidate your historical logistics invoices and data into the ACBUY template. The spreadsheet helps cleanse this data, ensuring consistency in categories (e.g., air freight, ocean freight, long-term storage) for accurate analysis.

2. Trend Analysis & Pattern Recognition

ACBUY's built-in formulas and charts automatically calculate monthly averages, detect growth or reduction trends, and highlight anomalies. You can visualize how each cost component has behaved over the past 6-12 months.

3. Variable Adjustment & Projection

This is where forecasting happens. Adjust the baseline historical data based on known variables for the upcoming month:

  • Planned sales volume increase of 15%? Apply this to forecasted freight volume.
  • A new trade agreement affecting tariffs? Adjust the customs duty percentage.
  • Peak season surcharges announced? Factor these into the freight cost model.
The spreadsheet recalculates the entire budget based on your inputs.

4. Review & Scenario Planning

The final forecast presents a clear, line-item view of next month's expected logistics costs. The real power lies in creating multiple "what-if" scenarios (e.g., "What if fuel prices spike by 10%?" or "What if my customs clearance is delayed?") to understand potential financial impacts and build contingency plans.

Key Benefits of Using the ACBUY Spreadsheet for Budgeting

Enhanced Accuracy

Replaces instinct with data-driven projections, significantly reducing budget variances and surprises.

Informed Decision-Making

Provides clarity on cost centers, enabling negotiations with carriers, better inventory planning, and smarter sourcing decisions.

Time Efficiency

Automates complex calculations and data aggregation, freeing up managers for strategic analysis rather than manual data entry.

Improved Financial Control

Creates a reliable benchmark for actual spend, enhancing accountability and financial oversight within the supply chain.

Conclusion

The ACBUY Spreadsheet